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ByteDance stock

Valuation & IPO odds
Updated 20 Sep 2026
Current valuation
$588B
Nasdaq Private Market · as of 17 Sep 2026

As of 17 Sep 2026, ByteDance's private-market valuation is $588B — the NPM Price (Nasdaq Private Market). ByteDance is still private;.

Full valuation breakdown →

ByteDance valuation 2026: how much is ByteDance worth?

ByteDance is worth $588B as of September 2026 — its current valuation on the NPM Price (Nasdaq Private Market). That is ByteDance's latest private-market valuation; it has no public stock price.

NPM Price current $588B

over time → valuation history.

Sources NPM Price · 17 Sep 2026 · NPM ↗

What could ByteDance be worth by the end of 2026?

Prediction markets put ByteDance's even-odds 2026 valuation at $528B10% below today's $588B. The middle 50% of outcomes runs $511B$545B.

Even-odds mark median$528B
Middle 50% band 25th–75th pct$511B–$545B

Indicative: this market is coarsely priced, so we show the central estimate and its range rather than a precise per-level ladder.

Source Polymarket valuation ladder · 20 Sep 2026 · view ↗

When will ByteDance IPO?

ByteDance has not IPO'd and is not publicly traded — it's private, with no ticker.

By end 2026 the market implies ~8% odds ByteDance is listed.

Prediction-market odds, not ByteDance guidance.

Sources IPO timing · Polymarket + Kalshi · 20 Sep 2026 · view ↗

ByteDance valuation history: how has it changed?

ByteDance's valuation has gone from $343B (Sep 2025) to $588B (Sep 2026)1.7× +71% in 12 months.

$200B $400B $600B Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26Sep '26
daily NPM valuation mark · 249 pts · Sep 2025 – Sep 2026
DateNPM valuation
Sep 2025$343B
Dec 2025$372B
Mar 2026$480B
Jun 2026$560B
Sep 2026$588B
Source NPM Price · daily, Sep 2025 – Sep 2026 · NPM ↗ Round marker · Yahoo / Forge

Who owns ByteDance?

ByteDance is privately owned by its founders and employees plus its investors — and by 5 regulated mutual funds that independently mark its shares at $334.24 in SEC filings.

Institutional holders
5 funds
in SEC N-PORT filings

Fund holders BlackRock · Brighthouse Funds Trust II

Show the underlying fund filings (5 funds · 5 marks)
Fund (filer)Series heldPeriodPer share
Blackrock Capital Appreciation Fund, Inc.2026-05-31$334.24
Blackrock Large Cap Focus Growth Fund, Inc.2026-05-31$334.24
Brighthouse Funds Trust II2026-12-31$334.24
Blackrock Variable Series Funds, Inc.E-12026-12-31$334.24
Blackrock Series Fund, Inc.E-12026-12-31$334.24
Sources Fund marks · SEC EDGAR N-PORT · filing ↗

Can you buy ByteDance stock?

No — you can't buy ByteDance stock on a normal brokerage: it's private, with no ticker. How to invest in ByteDance directly is limited to accredited investors, via restricted pre-IPO secondaries. The one route open to anyone — no broker, no accreditation — is a prediction market on ByteDance's valuation.

Take a position without owning shares

Bet YES on “ByteDance ≥ $650B by Dec 31, 2026” at 26¢ and make ≈ +285% if it hits (full odds ladder →).

A prediction-market bet is binary, not equity: a fixed $1 if it hits the strike by the date, $0 if not. Availability varies by region.

Disclosure We earn a referral fee if you open Polymarket through this link. Moonberg doesn't sell shares, hold funds, or take a position. Not investment advice.
Sources Exposure odds · Polymarket · 20 Sep 2026 · view ↗

Latest on ByteDance

What recently moved the valuation and IPO odds, plus headlines — newest first.

What moved the valuation
  1. 20 Sep 2026
    Odds of reaching $500B by year-end at 92%. +22 pts in a month Polymarket
  2. 17 Sep 2026
    ByteDance's valuation marked at $588B. +2% over ~30 days · NPM Price (Nasdaq Private Market) NPM
In the news
  1. 19 Sep 2026
  2. 17 Sep 2026
  3. 17 Sep 2026
  4. 17 Sep 2026
  5. 16 Sep 2026
Sources Valuation & odds · NPM · Polymarket · Kalshi · Yahoo/Forge · method ↗ Headlines · GDELT & Google News · 17 Sep 2026

Common questions about ByteDance stock

Can you buy ByteDance stock, or is it on Robinhood?
Not on a public exchange or a retail app like Robinhood — ByteDance is private. The only route is the private secondary market (venues such as Forge, Hiive and EquityZen), which is limited to accredited investors and usually needs company approval.
How much is ByteDance worth?
$588B as of Sep 2026, based on the NPM Price (Nasdaq Private Market). See the valuation section for the sources behind it.
Does ByteDance pay a dividend?
No. ByteDance is a private, high-growth company that reinvests its capital. It pays no dividend, and there is no public yield.

Sources & method

Every figure is sourced below, each with its own timestamp. See the methodology for how each is computed.

SEC EDGAR — N-PORT regulated-fund per-share marks (Level 3). PUBLIC DOMAIN · 20 Sep 2026
NPM Price (Nasdaq Private Market) current valuation + daily history. REDISPLAYED · Pillar 6 · 17 Sep 2026
Polymarket valuation ladder, IPO timing, ticker, lead bank. REDISPLAYED · Pillar 6 · 20 Sep 2026
Kalshi — Financials IPO date ladder, lead-left underwriter. REDISPLAYED · Pillar 6 · 20 Sep 2026
Yahoo Finance / Forge secondary price, last round, share count. CITE & LINK · Pillar 6 · 20 Sep 2026
GDELT + Google News third-party headlines (linked, not re-hosted). CITE & LINK · 20 Sep 2026

An estimate, not an appraisal or investment advice. ByteDance is private; its shares are unregistered and secondary transfers may be restricted. Figures aggregate public filings and licensed third-party data, attributed above. Moonberg doesn't broker, sell, or hold any security.

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